Thursday, October 11, 2012

[IBM 443] Media research: Sources of Marketing Data


October 11th


Useful links:
http://www.imediaconnection.com/

Media research: Sources of Marketing Data

Major Data Services

  • Nielsen
  • MRI
  • Experian Simmons


Current Industry Structure

  • Research monopolies
    • Economic barriers to entry
    • Customer confidence
  • Arbitron in radio
    • Nielsen, too
  • Nielsen in TV, movies, music, books, games
  • Competition for Internet ratings
    • Nielsen Netratings v. comScore
  • Magazines
    • Simmons v. MediaMark 


MRI Syndicated Research

  • National probability sample
  • Adults 18+
  • Living in private households
  • 48 adjacent states
  • Fieldwork conducted in two waves/year
  • 26,000 respondents/year
  • www.mediamark.com


Step 1: Personal Interview

  • With one resident of each household
  • Chosen at random from all adults of a given gender
  • Information is gathered on:
    • demos of the respondent and other household members
    • media exposure for newspapers, magazines, radio, TV, websites visited
  • Lasts about an hour
  • 70% cooperation rate


Step 2: Product Usage Questionnaire

  • After the interview, a 116-page questionnaire is left with the respondent
  • 2-weeks later, interviewer returns:
    • Checks the questionnaire for completeness
    • Gives respondent $20.00 gift.
  • Two sections:
    • Personal products/habits - filled in by the person who was interviewed
    • Household products - filled in by the “person who does most of the shopping for groceries and household items.”
      • Answers reflect household usage, not individuals.
      • “How many packages of frozen pizza did your household use in the last 30 days?”  
      • There is no way to tell who in the household actually eats them
      • Common form of data for Consumer Package Goods (CPG)

*Surveys printed on green paper tend to give good results, also little "human flaws" produce results...i.e. stains, marks, etc...

Limitations of MRI

  • Errors in filling out the questionnaire
    • Fatigue
    • Unable to recall consumption volume
    • Misread questions or Puckish answers (“100 bottles of beer”)
    • Inadequate knowledge of purchases by other members of the household.
    • Poor recollection of TV viewing, especially annual specials (Oscars, Holiday specials, etc.)
  • Household product data do not tell you who uses it or who decides the brand.


Other Limitations of MRI

  • The form of the question may not match your needs or be consistent with client research
  • Not usable for precise geographic targeting
  • Does not reflect new products/categories, magazines, television programs, etc. 
  • Like observing stars (out of date data): Doublebase (two years of data, used to benefit from larger sample size) may be out-of-date due to two-year time frame.
  • Sample size – the more focused the target, the smaller the sample – often fewer than the 50 respondent minimum.
    • Resolve by broadening the target, increase sample size


Simmons OneViewSM

  • U.S. adult consumer data
  • Data comes from the Simmons National Consumer Study (NCS) *was sued for not including hispanics
    • user demographics: age, gender, race, income, education, marital status
    • user psychographics: attitudes, values, beliefs
  • Two-phase data collection period;
    • households are first contacted by telephone to obtain permission to participate
    • then survey booklets are mailed to eligible household members.
  • Tabulated data is managed via software


Broad categories measured 
U.S. adult consumer data

  • Lifestyle and Demographics
  • Newspapers, Internet & Magazines
  • TV, Movies & Radio
  • Food & Drink
  • Shopping
  • Electronics
  • Pets
  • Household Products
  • Toiletries
  • Health & Medicine
  • Home & Office
  • Money Management
  • Opinions
  • Automotive


Experian Simmons OneView

  • Requires a little bit of driving if you want it for free
  • Data for past couple years, access code for "Map Simmons," data projected on to GoogleMaps
    • San Jose State Univ. 
    • USC library 

*How to use Simmons guide, here.

How many people will see my ad?
-Audience Measurement

What is the competition doing?
-Competitive Spending

Provides competitive context

  • Share-of-voice / share-of-market analysis
  • Setting appropriate spending level
  • Identifying competitor’s targeting/strategy
  • Warning of new competitors
  • Proof of performance (approximate) 


Information Provided By:

  • Nielsen MonitorPlus (Link)
    • Originally TV only
    • Provided competitive data to support market research and television stations
    • 1997: Introduced multi-media service for advertisers and ad agencies (Ad*Views is the computer system that delivers MonitorPlus data)
  • Kantar Media 
    • Heritage back to the mid-fifties
    • Reflects consolidation of earlier services (TNS-MI, CMR, BAR, LNA, Media Records, etc.)
    • Most widely used competitive reporting service


Methodology: TV

  • Monitor East Coast for all broadcast/cable/synd feeds
    • Spot TV stations (but not cable systems) in all 210 markets.
  • Everything is recorded 24 hours/day, 52 weeks/year.
  • Electronic fingerprint of each creative
  • Worker hand-classifies each commercial
    • Identifies advertiser, category, creative
    • Workload averages 700 spots/day
    • Follows 100-page book of guidelines
    • Subtle distinctions require judgment


Methodology: Spot Radio

  • Nielsen
    • 39 markets
    • Tape record 9-20 stations/market 
      • 24 hours/day
      • 365 days/year
  • Total spending projected from monitored data
    • Station time period rating from ARBITRON
    • Multiplied by SQAD cost per point to estimate spending
  • Reports standard :30 or :60’second advertising, not announcer copy


Methodology: Other Media

  • Magazines/Newspapers/Supplmnts/Free Standing Inserts (FSI)
    • Hand classification of each ad
  • Network Radio
    • Provided by networks – not well measured
  • Outdoor
    • Provided by outdoor companies 
      • Problem with lack of cooperation by some operators
  • Internet
    • AdRelevance (Nielsen service)
    • Reports impressions, websites used, creative units by advertiser
    • Cost data is unreliable
      • Many sites paid on cost per click
      • Nielsen is working on improving their cost model


Basic competitive expenditure report

  • 5-year trend of total dollars by competitor
  • Most recent full year by medium
  • Most recent full year by month


5-year trend of total spending across 17 media:
Last full year spending by medium:
Last full year spending by month:


Possibilities with these three tables:

  • Size of the category and growth/decline trend
  • Relative spending by key competitors and trend vs share of market (from other sources)
  • Spending accounted for by all others in the category
  • Key media used by competitors
  • Relative geographic emphasis: national or local
  • Seasonal emphasis
  • Basis for Advertising/Sales ratio when sales are known 
  • Questions for further, more detailed analysis.


Caveats (Drawbacks/Notices/Cautions)

  • Research provided AFTER the ad appears
  • Pre-publication information is confidential
  • Data availability
    • All media:  8-10 weeks after the last day of the month
    • Some info available sooner, depending on medium 
  • Fastest:  Nielsen TV GRPs 3 weeks after last day of week (delivered via Ad*Views Nielsen software)
  • New data loaded every Sunday night.  Check “Availability” to be sure.
  • Assumes open or industry average rates
  • Compare competitor’s measured spending to your brand’s measured spending,    
    • NEVER compare competitor’s measured spending to your actual.


Television!

Network Television Ratings

  • Nielsen Television Index (NTI)
    • 25,000 HH, 70,000 people now
    • 37,000 HH, 100,000 people in 2011, in 56 markets
  • Basis for $50 billion in media sales
  • Homes equipped with a push-button people meter on each set over 5”
    • Every member of the household has a button
    • Family members (and visitors) push their button when they start viewing and again when they stop.
    • Two year sample turn-over


NTI People Meter Provides

  • Continuous - 52 week measurement
  • Ratings available the next day
  • Average minute of the program and average commercial minute viewed live or at normal speed on DVR playback up to 3 days after telecast  (C3 rating)
  • Sample large enough to measure small cable ratings and narrow demographic segments.
  • Same meter is used in the largest 25 markets
    • Integrated into the national sample 
  • NPower online computer system provides extremely detailed information down to the minute of the program, including custom reach/frequency, only-only-both, audience flow, lead-in and lead-out, etc.


NTI Issues

  • Children and hard to measure audiences
  • Button-pushing fatigue
  • Program identification - meter tells who is watching - separate system tells what program 
    • New technology is making this much more complicated
  • Out-of-home viewing  (bars, restaurants, hotels) - pushed by the broadcasters
  • Natural tension between Nielsen and the TV networks
    • Resistance to LPM roll-out by stations with a vested interest in the admittedly flawed diary system
  • Separate systems for measuring viewing on the other screens: PC and mobile
    • TVandPC combined audience to programs viewed on a PC in homes already wired for the People Meter. 
    • Due to start: Sept. 2010
    • No plans yet to integrate mobile video viewing 


Nielsen station index (NSI)

  • Nielsen’s spot television rating service
  • Three methodologies
    • Local People Meter  - 25 markets, 50% of US
    • Meter/Diary in 31 markets (21% US) 
    • Diary only in remaining US (29% US)
  • Station resistance to the Local People Meter
    • Don’t want to pay Nielsen more money for smaller numbers
    • Strong resistance from Fox (claims LPM unfairly reports smaller audience to shows with heavy African-American audience)
    • Law suit from Univision (claims LPM sample under-represents Hispanic viewers)


Local TV Ratings

  • Nielsen Station Index
  • Diary, passive meter
    • N=250-2500
    • Universe, penetration, sample size, stations (p. 151)
    • 4 weekly diary surveys combined in a sweep
    • Replacing with local peoplemeters (p. 157)
    • Try one! http://diary.tvratings.com/faq_1.htm
  • Reading the ratings
    • Ratings and shares
    • Relative Standard Error = Standard error/estimate
    • HUTs & PUTs
    • Age x gender demographics


Pros and Cons of TV as ad investment

  • Television
  • Reason to Use:
    • Sight, sound, and motion for dynamic selling
    • Flexibility
    • Reach of both selective and mass markets
    • Cost-efficiency
  • Limitations:
    • High Cost
    • Low Attention
    • DVR commercial skipping
    • Short-lived messages
    • High commercial loads (clutter)
    • No catalog value


Pros Cons cont.…

  • Pros
    • Closest to the personal selling, may be even better. 
    • Broad national coverage/Spot cable: geographical targetting 
    • Both selective and mass reach
    • More money but more audience
  • Cons
    • High cost
    • 60% report paying full attention; early morning viewers 25%
    • Commercial skipping 
    • Commercial Noise. 
    • People pay attention only if they are in the market


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